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		<title>Five Reasons Obama will Lose the Presidential Election.</title>
		<description>Comments for Five Reasons Obama will Lose the Presidential Election. at http://www.urbanelephants.com , comment 1 to 3 out of 3 comments</description>
		<link>http://www.urbanelephants.com</link>
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			<title>It will be a close call</title>
			<link>http://www.urbanelephants.com/index.php/herd/89-five-reasons-obama-will-lose-the-presidential-election.html#comment-101</link>
			<description>Conservatives have to a large degree attached themselves to McCain, more recently so because of the excellent job he did during the Saddleback forum, but also because we clearly understand there is a lesser of two evils.

Remember value voters came out in droves in the 2004 Presidential election, mostly under the wire.  2008 will be no different.  The chance to move the Supreme Court one more vote to our side, is enough incentive.

The main reason I consider Obama's close associations a crucial issue is because of the Democrats that I know, who have real problems with the whole Rev. Wright issue, and others. (By the way, liberation theology is not Christianity, in my opinion).

Obama's people are really bad people, outside of the usual rabble rousers, and certainly worse than friends or associate of McCain (that I know of).

In the long run, lower taxes across the board helps everyone.  The less disparity in tax relief, the more effective.  Libertarians and many Independents understand this.

Other reasons Obama will lose:

I'm hoping that the Obama bias in the media is so blatant people will see clearly see it.  People do not want the media telling them who to vote  for, this whole &quot;Obamahsiah&quot; will back fire on them.

Hillary wants to run in 2012 for sure, so she and her close people will do anything for an Obama loss, this helps McCain. - Raquel Okyay</description>
			<pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2008 06:59:17 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>...</title>
			<link>http://www.urbanelephants.com/index.php/herd/89-five-reasons-obama-will-lose-the-presidential-election.html#comment-99</link>
			<description>nice piece, Raquel, but in an imperfect political world, I doubt much of this comes to be true.

1.  for this to happen, McCain needs to continue to ridicule Obama like he did in some of his most recent ads.  But to a large degree, I think America IS concerned about this.

2.  this may be true, but it would be wrong to think Americans will vote against Obama just because economic history is against raising taxes on the rich as beneficial to the overall economy.  Most voters would topically benefit from his plan - which is the only reason why he's supporting it.  Raising taxes on the rich will HELP him get elected, even if it destroys our economy in the longer term.

3.  As i pointed out in a previous thread, i agree with you on this one.  Voters will tend to move away from &quot;green&quot; ideas as energy prices go higher or just remain at present higher levels.  Drilling off-shore, even to residents where rigs may become visable, will be very popular going forward.  (unfortunately drilling for black gold is really drilling for &quot;fools gold.&quot;  it will help us in the short-term but may delay the necessary move to more sustainable energy ideas like Nuclear...)

4. Unless McCain can get momentum with social conservatives (and the fact that you are writing this piece indicates that may be the case already...), this will not come to be true.  Right now i'd say his choice position is a wash, but if history is any guide, it will be a net negative for Obama as you point out.

5. This part is not accurate.  Although the list you made up may be troubling for Obama, McCain is no choir boy (pardon the pun...) and will likely not be able to use this in his campaign.  Sen. McCain has been in D.C. for decades and is DEFINATELY not as &quot;clean&quot; as someone like Reagan was.  i would predict that the &quot;bad connections&quot; thing will hurt McCain more than Obama by the end of this campaign.

 - Jay Golub</description>
			<pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2008 02:24:17 +0100</pubDate>
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			<title>Americans know a</title>
			<link>http://www.urbanelephants.com/index.php/herd/89-five-reasons-obama-will-lose-the-presidential-election.html#comment-95</link>
			<description>phony when they see one -  that is why B. Hussein Oabam will lose. - alice Lemos</description>
			<pubDate>Tue, 19 Aug 2008 12:38:05 +0100</pubDate>
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